Bracketologists and La Salle
Mar 7, 2013 13:19:11 GMT -5
theneumann64, Shout out to my Cousin Bern, and 3 more like this
Post by luhoopsfan on Mar 7, 2013 13:19:11 GMT -5
Not to keep beating the "are we in" thread a different way, but we seem to be all hung up on only the two "name" guys doing brackets as though they are Gospel (Palm and Lunardi). If you're familiar with the Bracket Project blog, this guy tracks as of today, 96 Brackets.
Heading into last night we appeared in 94 of those brackets and on average we appeared as an 11.18 Seed before last night. To put that in perspective here's some other notable Bubble teams on there:
** = projected conference Champ
O = First 4 out
In addition, he ranks individual bracketologists and their ability to accurately project the field. A perfect score is 480 using the system of 3 points for picking a team, 2 points for the correct seed line and 1 point for being within 1 seed line. The reason i bring this up is that Lunardi is 1 of 10 guys doing this for 7 seasons before this one and 1 of 15 having done it for 6 or more. I bring this up because Joe is by no means "The best" - he's probably average, and I'm not trying to discredit his work, but I've found that this matrix is actually more useful than anything and most likely to predict our ability to get into the dance. If you wanted to find the best guy over the last 7 seasons when compared to all these others it would be this guy here:
Busting the Bracket
He has outperformed Joe every year except 2006, the overall matrix outperformed Joe every year ut 1 (2008 i think)
I'm just trying to get us some perspective here and not to treat Lunardi and palm as though they are some magic soothsayers that define whether or nto we get into the tournament. As it stands now, i still think we're either the last 11 seed or one of the 12 seeds that don't have to "play in". We are big fans of anyone Wichita State, St Mary's, Boise State and Cincy are playing because them losing games may nto necessarily put them "out" but certainly puts them lower down the seed list and more likely to have to move to the last 4 in.
Also, keep in mind that geography plays a role in all this and depending on who the #1 seeds are will dictate what seeds play where - and moving us to an 11 seed or a higher 12 seed may be necessary for travel purposes of other teams.
I hit this site at LEAST 1 time per day, if not more.
THE BRACKET MATRIX
Heading into last night we appeared in 94 of those brackets and on average we appeared as an 11.18 Seed before last night. To put that in perspective here's some other notable Bubble teams on there:
|
** = projected conference Champ
O = First 4 out
In addition, he ranks individual bracketologists and their ability to accurately project the field. A perfect score is 480 using the system of 3 points for picking a team, 2 points for the correct seed line and 1 point for being within 1 seed line. The reason i bring this up is that Lunardi is 1 of 10 guys doing this for 7 seasons before this one and 1 of 15 having done it for 6 or more. I bring this up because Joe is by no means "The best" - he's probably average, and I'm not trying to discredit his work, but I've found that this matrix is actually more useful than anything and most likely to predict our ability to get into the dance. If you wanted to find the best guy over the last 7 seasons when compared to all these others it would be this guy here:
Busting the Bracket
He has outperformed Joe every year except 2006, the overall matrix outperformed Joe every year ut 1 (2008 i think)
I'm just trying to get us some perspective here and not to treat Lunardi and palm as though they are some magic soothsayers that define whether or nto we get into the tournament. As it stands now, i still think we're either the last 11 seed or one of the 12 seeds that don't have to "play in". We are big fans of anyone Wichita State, St Mary's, Boise State and Cincy are playing because them losing games may nto necessarily put them "out" but certainly puts them lower down the seed list and more likely to have to move to the last 4 in.
Also, keep in mind that geography plays a role in all this and depending on who the #1 seeds are will dictate what seeds play where - and moving us to an 11 seed or a higher 12 seed may be necessary for travel purposes of other teams.
I hit this site at LEAST 1 time per day, if not more.
THE BRACKET MATRIX