CBS Sports Mock Selection Excercise

[explorer88]

CBS Sports is having a big two day mock selection excercise with their top guys and really going through the motions of what the NCAA committee does:

La Salle was just selected as an 11 seed. Let's hope this hold true in reality next month.They are doing this while projecting the rest of the season by prediciting wins and losses for games not played yet. Not sure how Temple still gets in.

Jeff Borzello @jeffborzello 4m
Our No. 11 seeds: Temple, Memphis, La Salle, Creighton.
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[coqui900]

No way Creighton's an 11 seed. I know they've struggled but they're too highly regarded to drop that far.

[explorer88]

Creighton has been going in the toilet lately. Selection committee puts a lot of emphasis on how you have been playing late in the season.

Temple won the A-10 tournament in their simulation so that is how they got in.

[explorerman]

Yeah I agree about Creighton... Frankly their resume is not that impressive..

Their case seems to be more of a Kentucky and UNC mold which is more about name and less about results and substance.

Weak RPI (50) and weak SOS (113)... 2-2 vs the Top 50

Frankly their resume is much worse than ours.. But the AP and coaches had them in their polls so you have the impression that they are actually very good, while the statistics dictate something very different.

[broderickpresident]

Feb 15, 2013 11:00:19 GMT -5 explorer88 said:

Creighton has been going in the toilet lately. Selection committee puts a lot of emphasis on how you have been playing late in the season.

Temple won the A-10 tournament in their simulation so that is how they got in.

The NCAA changed this policy a couple years ago. Last 10 (or last 12) games is no longer an "official" criterion for selecting the field. I took part in one of these mock selection exercises the year Mike Slive was heading the committee (maybe 3 years ago?) and he explained that the committee was no longer "officially" considering that, but that individual committee members would obviously have their own biases, but that the emphasis would be on the full season's resume. In other words, a November win should be considered equal to a March win, etc.

Creighton's major issue (aside from any inherent recency bias) is that they have as many bad losses (2) as quality wins. And one of their quality wins (Akron) has a 48 RPI that could fall out of the top 50 at any time.

They have SMC coming up soon, but they fell out of the top 50 with their loss to the Zags last night. Creighton will really need a win (or 2) against Wichita State to cement its bid.

Creighton's problem is largely that simply playing in the MVC has been bad for its RPI. There's an inherent unfairness to the RPI. It doesn't care about dominance in wins and it punishes the quality of a conference slate over which Creighton has no control.

Sure, none of this would matter if Creighton won all of its games, but that's an unreasonable expectation.

[stlexplorer]

@sethdavishoops: Currently voting in the final at large teams. Most recent teams in are Memphis, LaSalle, Creighton and Baylor. UK and UNC not in yet.

[stlexplorer]

@sethdavishoops: Voted em in last night. No. 43 overall seed. RT @heshyshmu: where is la salle? I haven't heard them mentioned

[belfieldhappyhour]

They've finished after two days, and wait for it ....... have La Salle in a 6/11 game with Minnesota. And if they could get passed that, a rematch against Kansas would be in the offing.

Check it out

[sweat83]

Minnesota and Kansas are very beatable. Both teams have struggled of late. Harvard might even be able to pull off the upset

[coqui900]

I would love if that bracket holds up because it's some weird "Hero's Quest" thing to vanquish past foes for us to advance. Any chance they can also rig the bracket so we face Oklahoma State and Towson?

[stlexplorer]

I would be fine in any scenario where it ends with us playing in Kansas City. I'll make the 4hr trip out there for that!