Post by theneumann64 on Mar 2, 2014 15:35:23 GMT -5
Now that the Sunday game is done, and everyone's play at least 14 games, things start to come into focus a bit, although much is still left to be determined.
We can add to this as we go on, but here's what I have for just us at the moment:
With GMU's loss today, we are locked into the 8/9 game, The only teams we could catch record-wise above us would be Dayton and Richmond at 8-8. And they both have beaten us, so any 2 or 3 way tiebreakers with them would put us last of the 3 (8th overall). And actually, they play each other, so one of them will end up with 9 wins, and then we'd lose a 2 way tiebreaker for 7th with whoever lost that game.
On the other end, our worst case scenario would be a 3 way tie for 8th-10th with Duquesne and St. Bonaventure, all at 6-10. We are 3-1 against them, so would be 8th.
The only scenario where we wouldn't play the Bonnies is if they end up tied with Duquense at 6-10. Even if we're in it for a 3 way, we'd get the 8 seed, as discussed above. Then the two of them split head to head, and the next tiebreaker is essentially who beat the highest seed. Duquesne has a win over St. Louis, so they would get the tiebreaker in that scenario. Duquense has to beat UMass Wednesday for this to stay alive, and if that happens, it would actually look pretty good, as they finish with Mason, whike the Bonnies only remaining game is against VCU, in Richmond.
And finally, if we end up tied with the Bonnies for 8-9 the tiebreaker (which wouldn't really matter except to determine the "Home Team" in the A-10 tournament game, it will most likely come down to who has the better win, standings wise. Right now, ours is GW, and there's is UMass, who are both 9-5 (UMass has the tiebreaker in their scenario). Unless we both got to 7-9, with them beating VCU, and us losing to Mason and beating St. Joe's, then it would come down to whoever finishes higher of those teams. Again though, not that important.
....I love this stuff, so forgive me if I was way too long-winded here. This is just for us, I will likely add more for other teams shortly.
We can add to this as we go on, but here's what I have for just us at the moment:
With GMU's loss today, we are locked into the 8/9 game, The only teams we could catch record-wise above us would be Dayton and Richmond at 8-8. And they both have beaten us, so any 2 or 3 way tiebreakers with them would put us last of the 3 (8th overall). And actually, they play each other, so one of them will end up with 9 wins, and then we'd lose a 2 way tiebreaker for 7th with whoever lost that game.
On the other end, our worst case scenario would be a 3 way tie for 8th-10th with Duquesne and St. Bonaventure, all at 6-10. We are 3-1 against them, so would be 8th.
The only scenario where we wouldn't play the Bonnies is if they end up tied with Duquense at 6-10. Even if we're in it for a 3 way, we'd get the 8 seed, as discussed above. Then the two of them split head to head, and the next tiebreaker is essentially who beat the highest seed. Duquesne has a win over St. Louis, so they would get the tiebreaker in that scenario. Duquense has to beat UMass Wednesday for this to stay alive, and if that happens, it would actually look pretty good, as they finish with Mason, whike the Bonnies only remaining game is against VCU, in Richmond.
And finally, if we end up tied with the Bonnies for 8-9 the tiebreaker (which wouldn't really matter except to determine the "Home Team" in the A-10 tournament game, it will most likely come down to who has the better win, standings wise. Right now, ours is GW, and there's is UMass, who are both 9-5 (UMass has the tiebreaker in their scenario). Unless we both got to 7-9, with them beating VCU, and us losing to Mason and beating St. Joe's, then it would come down to whoever finishes higher of those teams. Again though, not that important.
....I love this stuff, so forgive me if I was way too long-winded here. This is just for us, I will likely add more for other teams shortly.
