|
Post by 23won on Dec 22, 2019 10:29:07 GMT -5
Here we go folks. Time to get into the swing of A10 play.
Let’s see your predictions for the season.
Assuming no injuries, I am going with 10-8 as a base case and 11-7 stretch if we can get a win on the road against Duquesne.
Highlight wins will be at home against SLU and Mason, solid win v Bonnies and taking care of business against Mass, GW, Fordham, SJU.
With Blue and Gold glasses I see 12-6 with wins over Duq and UR versus base case.
Let’s go!
|
|
|
Post by durenduren on Dec 22, 2019 10:54:39 GMT -5
First handful of A10 games are favorable matchups. Need to capitalize on those, set the tone.
|
|
|
Post by GlitterBro #2 on Dec 22, 2019 12:34:29 GMT -5
First handful of A10 games are favorable matchups. Need to capitalize on those, set the tone. you realize our first game is against #13 Dayton, right ? I only see 2 of our January games as "favorable matchups" the rest will be dogfights. Would love to see us 5-3 coming out of January, but realistically...I'm seeing 3-5.
|
|
|
Post by cpico on Dec 22, 2019 16:43:11 GMT -5
First half of the A-10 season is going to be tough. I’m hoping for 8-10 in conference if there aren’t any major injuries.
Team is playing some good basketball so far, hopefully we keep growing as a team.
|
|
|
Post by vital on Dec 22, 2019 18:15:18 GMT -5
I see 11 wins in the A10...maybe 12 if they stay under 11 turnovers per game!
|
|
|
Post by sweat83 on Dec 23, 2019 9:16:20 GMT -5
First handful of A10 games are favorable matchups. Need to capitalize on those, set the tone. you realize our first game is against #13 Dayton, right ? I only see 2 of our January games as "favorable matchups" the rest will be dogfights. Would love to see us 5-3 coming out of January, but realistically...I'm seeing 3-5. Totally agree. I'm hoping for a 4-4 record in the first 8. The only favorable match up I see in the first 8 games may be on the road against Fordham and maybe UMASS. But Home games vs Dayton, GMU, VCU and STL, and road games at FORD, UMASS, URI and RICH is a brutal stretch. Finishing at 9-9 in the A10 this year would be considered a huge success. But lets be real here...we really haven't beaten anyone yet, and don't look past Bucknell on Saturday either.
|
|
|
Post by a10champion15 on Dec 23, 2019 10:23:30 GMT -5
10-8
Win a couple games we shouldn't and lose a couple games we shouldn't.
|
|
|
Post by La Salle 08 on Dec 23, 2019 12:08:10 GMT -5
Considering how strong the A10 is, anything better than 8-10 would make me ecstatic. I'm thinking we go 7-11 and then we upset whoever we play in the 7/10 game in Brooklyn.
|
|
|
Post by blueandgold on Dec 23, 2019 18:33:07 GMT -5
I am sticking with 9-9. I had us 5-7 OOC plus a Thursday A10 W for 15-17 final record. 9-3 OOC finish is in play, so I think we have a legit chance at 20 wins. I would be THRILLED!
|
|
|
Post by nyalum on Dec 23, 2019 18:52:31 GMT -5
I think expectations for this season should be based on incremental improvement. I think 10-8 is within reach, given our depth and demonstrated maturity in not blowing games we would have in the past. If we go in to conference play at 9-3, that's a pleasantly-surprising record of 19-11. Would be much-improved, indeed.
|
|
|
Post by JoeFedorowicz on Dec 24, 2019 6:24:18 GMT -5
I spent 20 minutes yesterday figuring out if the magic number was 21 or 22 wins. Would prob take 22 unless there were some good ones like Dayton thrown in there.
|
|
|
Post by GlitterBro #2 on Dec 24, 2019 9:19:15 GMT -5
I spent 20 minutes yesterday figuring out if the magic number was 21 or 22 wins. Would prob take 22 unless there were some good ones like Dayton thrown in there. Do you mean for NIT or NCAA? I was thinking 20 COULD get us NIT, but it's a stretch without even a Quad 2 win unless we steal a god one or two, or finish really strong and take 2 A-10 tourney games.
|
|
|
Post by GlitterBro #2 on Dec 24, 2019 9:51:36 GMT -5
Expecting 9-9. Maybe we steal 2 games we shouldn't and finish 11-7, but that assumes we don't lose one we shouldn't. I broke the season A-10 down by month. Games with "?" are Toss-ups to me, but I'll make a guess January - 3-5 but could steal SLU and be 4-4: Dayton | Loss | @fordham | Win | @umass | Win | George Mason | ? (Win) | @ RI | Loss | @richmond | Loss | VCU | Loss | St. Louis | ? (Loss) |
February - 4-4 (could maybe steal a win from Duquesne and Bonaventure and be 6-2, but doubt we win all 3 toss-ups...February is a grind in the A10, and I wonder if our freshmen have the stamina) @duquesne | ? (Loss) | St. Joe's
| Win | Richmond | ? (Win) | @st. Louis | Loss | Fordham | Win | @gw | Win | @davidson | Loss | St. Bonaventure | ? (Loss) |
March - 2-0, although we struggle at SJU sometimes, but I think not this year with their injuries and lack of bench depth).
|
|
|
Post by sweat83 on Dec 24, 2019 9:53:07 GMT -5
I spent 20 minutes yesterday figuring out if the magic number was 21 or 22 wins. Would prob take 22 unless there were some good ones like Dayton thrown in there. Do you mean for NIT or NCAA? I was thinking 20 COULD get us NIT, but it's a stretch without even a Quad 2 win unless we steal a god one or two, or finish really strong and take 2 A-10 tourney games. 20 wins means we go 11-7 in the A10 (with a W over Bucknell on Sat). I would think that’s a top 4 finish and should get us in the NIT. Top 4 and semis appearance get us an NCAA? Tough call. But let’s get there first.
|
|
|
Post by explorerentourage on Dec 24, 2019 9:55:52 GMT -5
A-10 is stacked this year. Expectation is somewhere between 8-10 and 10-8. Anything worse would be disappointing, anything better very surprising.
Want to see continuous growth from the freshmen. Hypothetically, we had this team last year, we would be fighting for top 6, but in the A10 this year we are probably looking at another Noon 8/9 game in Brooklyn
|
|
|
Post by explorerentourage on Dec 24, 2019 9:58:36 GMT -5
Do you mean for NIT or NCAA? I was thinking 20 COULD get us NIT, but it's a stretch without even a Quad 2 win unless we steal a god one or two, or finish really strong and take 2 A-10 tourney games. 20 wins means we go 11-7 in the A10 (with a W over Bucknell on Sat). I would think that’s a top 4 finish and should get us in the NIT. Top 4 and semis appearance get us an NCAA? Tough call. But let’s get there first. An At-Large would involve honestly a 16-2 conference record and the 2 losses can’t be terrible. I think the magic number for NIT is 22. Depends on the strength of the bubble, but get to 22 and you feel good, based on previous NIT participants and A10 teams that have gotten in
|
|
|
Post by theneumann64 on Dec 24, 2019 10:44:26 GMT -5
Hoping for 9-9 in the A-10. With a win against Bucknell Saturday, that would be an 18 win season, which would be great.
|
|
|
Post by explorer88 on Dec 24, 2019 10:51:42 GMT -5
Hoping for 9-9 in the A-10. With a win against Bucknell Saturday, that would be an 18 win season, which would be great. I think that is our ceiling and pretty damn good year if Ash can accomplish that.
|
|
|
Post by JoeFedorowicz on Dec 24, 2019 13:00:28 GMT -5
I spent 20 minutes yesterday figuring out if the magic number was 21 or 22 wins. Would prob take 22 unless there were some good ones like Dayton thrown in there. Do you mean for NIT or NCAA? I was thinking 20 COULD get us NIT, but it's a stretch without even a Quad 2 win unless we steal a god one or two, or finish really strong and take 2 A-10 tourney games. 22 for NCAA.
|
|
|
Post by GlitterBro #2 on Dec 24, 2019 13:43:30 GMT -5
Do you mean for NIT or NCAA? I was thinking 20 COULD get us NIT, but it's a stretch without even a Quad 2 win unless we steal a god one or two, or finish really strong and take 2 A-10 tourney games. 22 for NCAA. I think that's not enough for an at-large unless those wins are VCU and Dayton...and no bad losses. Looking at the schedule, might need 24. I always figured NIT next year and NCAA year after. Would love to see NIT, but thinking we might just miss that cut this year.
|
|
|
Post by JoeFedorowicz on Dec 24, 2019 15:14:41 GMT -5
Had 21 in 12-13?
Two great wins. Maybe you’re right, I’ll up to 23 unless they beat Dayton. League should be better top to bottom though.
|
|
|
Post by thelasallelunatic on Dec 25, 2019 6:53:57 GMT -5
Had 21 in 12-13? Two great wins. Maybe you’re right, I’ll up to 23 unless they beat Dayton. League should be better top to bottom though. They beat Nova that season.
|
|
|
Post by JoeFedorowicz on Dec 25, 2019 9:21:52 GMT -5
That was like their fifth best win statistically. Nova finished #54 in RPI.
|
|
|
Post by explorerentourage on Dec 25, 2019 11:30:29 GMT -5
Need to keep in mind that in 2013, A-10 was only 16 conference games, giving teams more opportunities at Power 5 wins
|
|
MisterD
The Baptist Himself
Voted Most Popular Poster 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2022, 2023
Posts: 8,481
Likes: 6,376
|
Post by MisterD on Dec 25, 2019 12:24:41 GMT -5
I don’t know what our end of 2012 SoS was, but I have to imagine it was a lot tougher than this year.
|
|
|
Post by GlitterBro #2 on Dec 26, 2019 8:35:29 GMT -5
I don’t know what our end of 2012 SoS was, but I have to imagine it was a lot tougher than this year. closed the year at 118 in the 11-12 NIT season closed the year at 54 in the 12-13 NCAA season this year we are currently at 160 Conference RPI was 7 during those years...sitting at 8 this year. Still way too early for this, but Bracketology only has 2 A10 teams in this year - Dayton and VCU, with VCU as being one of the last 4 in.
|
|
|
Post by sweat83 on Dec 26, 2019 8:46:12 GMT -5
I don’t know what our end of 2012 SoS was, but I have to imagine it was a lot tougher than this year. 2012 OOC wins vs Delaware, Hartford, Nova, Rider, PSU (a not so good PSU team that year), Northeastern, Iona, Sacred Heart, Siena, and Penn. OOC Losses against Central Conn, Bucknell, and Miami by 17 pts. Lost to Charlotte (A), Xavier (A), UMass (H), Temple (A), #16 St. Louis (A). Then a L to Butler in the first round of A10 conference tournament. IMO, the A10 is more stacked this year than in 2012. Would think our SoS at the end of the year, is better than it was in 2012. Current CBS rankings...Dayton (19), Mason (42), URI (46), STL (50), Richmond (61), Duquesne (80), La Salle (81), Davidson (90), VCU (92) Our OOC losses this year...Nova (7), Penn (27) and Temple (31). No bad losses this year so far.
|
|
|
Post by JoeFedorowicz on Dec 26, 2019 10:15:58 GMT -5
I don’t know what our end of 2012 SoS was, but I have to imagine it was a lot tougher than this year. Would think our SoS at the end of the year, is better than it was in 2012. At the very least the extra win to get to 22 would make La Salle a near bubble team.
|
|
|
Post by 23won on Dec 26, 2019 12:34:00 GMT -5
We had a lot break our way to get in in '13.
The P5 influence is much greater now with the quadrant system and other biases allowing a football school to get in with a few top 25 opponent wins on a home court. I think we need to have 23won to get in (and need 2 A10 tourney wins out of that 23).
|
|
|
Post by diehardexplorer on Dec 26, 2019 16:01:43 GMT -5
i love our team. they play hard, they're unselfish, and they have been getting better little by little every game. if they can consistently shoot free throws in the high 70% and knock turnovers down to 10-12 per game, i can see them winning between 8-10 conference games, maybe even a couple more.
to do that, the fans need to do their part and come out and support them. this team has exceeded all expectations so far, and for that, only 3721 seats combined were filled for the recent 3 game homestand despite the school offering $10 tickets. and those numbers were inflated. that is a disgrace. i don't care who they were playing. you should go to support your team. even that lousy st joe's (pa) team has considerably more people showing up.
i'm also disappointed that the school hasn't done more to promote the dayton game. top 25 teams don't show up at gola very often. they should have been all over the students prior to the semester break to beg them to come back for that game. the kids and coaching staff on this team deserve so much more than what they're getting. it would be a shame to see a half-filled gola for a national tv game against a top 25 team.
but lets beat bucknell first.
|
|