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Post by stlexplorer on Jan 1, 2013 18:04:37 GMT -5
kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/entry/conference_title_predictionsAfter simulating it out 10,000 times here's the % chance according to Kenpom.com of each team winning the A-10: - VCU - 64.6% - St. Louis - 12.6% - Butler - 7.8% - St. Joe's - 5.7% - La Salle - 3.8%- Temple - 2.6% - Dayton - 1.7% - Everyone else is under 1% "St. Louis was the computers’ preseason favorite while Saint Joe’s was the media pick. VCU is the best team in the conference now, and they get some help because SLU and Butler have to play each other twice in what is otherwise a single round-robin schedule." To compare here's the current odds on each team to win the conference: - Butler +250 - St. Louis +300 - VCU +300 - St. Joe's +400 - Temple +500 - Xavier +1000 - Field +1000 - Richmond +1200 - Dayton +1500 - La Salle +2000- Rhode Island +2000 Not hard to find the team with most value in those lines
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Post by stlexplorer on Jan 1, 2013 18:07:23 GMT -5
These were the odds back on October 9th for reference:
+250 - Butler +250 - St. Louis +350 - Temple +500 - VCU +650 - St. Joe's +800 - Field +1200 - Richmond +1200 - Xavier +1500 - Dayton +1800 - La Salle +2000 - Rhode Island
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Post by vasalos on Jan 1, 2013 19:08:36 GMT -5
I expect Butler to take the conference with Temple second.
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